NBMECalc
USMLE Step 1

NBME 30 Score CalculatorStep 1's Hardest — and Most Trustworthy — Form

200 questions · The most conservative Step 1 predictor available. Enter your wrong answers to get your NBME 30 predicted score and understand what it means for your real exam readiness.

80% correct
0 wrong100 wrong200 wrong
Predicted Score
232
Passing threshold: 196
Excellent
Pass probability
99.8%
140196 passing300
Strong readiness. You're well above the safe zone — consider scheduling soon.
40
Wrong
160
Correct
80%
Accuracy

NBME 30 Slightly Underpredicts — No Downward Adjustment Needed

Unlike UWSA forms (which overpredict by 7–15 pts), NBME 30 tends to slightly underestimate your actual Step 1 score by ~3–5 pts. Your real exam result will often land at or above your NBME 30 predicted score. A passing score here is the strongest single readiness signal available.

Why NBME 30 Scores Lower Than Other Forms

Each wrong answer on NBME 30 costs 1.15 points — the highest penalty of any active Step 1 form. On NBME 28 (the easiest active form), the cost is only 1.05 points per wrong answer. This means:

40 wrong answers
NBME 28: 234
same 40 wrong
NBME 30: 232
score gap
~15 pts

A lower NBME 30 score vs. an easier form does not mean you regressed — it reflects the more demanding scoring curve. Compare scores only within the same form.

NBME 28 / 29 / 30 / 31 — Difficulty Comparison

NBME 28NBME 29NBME 30NBME 31
Slope (pts/wrong)1.0481.091.151.08
DifficultyEasyModerateHardestHard
Recommended timingWeek 5–6Week 6–7Final 1–2 wksFinal 1–2 wks
Primary useConfidenceReadinessFinal checkpointContent check

Community consensus data. Slope values from regression formulas calibrated against reported score pairs on r/step1 and SDN.

NBME 30 Score Conversion Table — Step 1

WrongCorrect% CorrectPredicted ScorePass Prob
0200100%27899.9%
519597.5%27299.9%
1019095%26699.9%
1518592.5%26099.9%
2018090%25599.9%
2517587.5%24999.9%
3017085%24399.9%
3516582.5%23799.9%
4016080%23299.8%
4515577.5%22699.6%
5015075%22098.7%
5514572.5%21496.2%
6014070%20991.2%
6513567.5%20377.9%
7013065%19754.5%
7512562.5%19128.9%
8012060%18614.2%
8511557.5%1805.3%
9011055%1741.9%
9510552.5%1680.6%
10010050%1630.3%
1059547.5%1570.1%
1109045%1510.1%
1158542.5%1450.1%
1208040%1400.1%
1257537.5%1400.1%
1307035%1400.1%
1356532.5%1400.1%
1406030%1400.1%
1455527.5%1400.1%
1505025%1400.1%
1554522.5%1400.1%
1604020%1400.1%
1653517.5%1400.1%
1703015%1400.1%
1752512.5%1400.1%
1802010%1400.1%
185157.5%1400.1%
190105%1400.1%
19552.5%1400.1%
20000%1400.1%
Above passing (196+)Below passing

About NBME 30

Questions
200
4 blocks × 50
Difficulty
Hardest
Best Timing
Week 7 of dedicated (final predictor)
Description

Most challenging active Step 1 form — best final predictor.

Community Notes

Hardest scoring form (1.15 pts/question). A passing score here is the strongest signal of exam readiness.

Other Step 1 Practice Exams

NBME 25
Week 1–2 of dedicated (baseline)
200q
NBME 26
Week 3–4 of dedicated (mid-checkpoint)
200q
NBME 27
Week 3–5 of dedicated
200q
NBME 28
Week 5–6 of dedicated (confidence builder)
200q
NBME 29
Week 6–7 of dedicated (primary readiness check)
200q
NBME 31NEW
Final 1–2 weeks before exam
200q
UWSA 1
Week 3–5 of dedicated
160q
UWSA 2
Final 5–7 days before exam
160q
Free 120
Final 2–3 days before exam
120q

NBME 30 Step 1 Calculator — FAQ

This tool is for educational purposes only. Not affiliated with NBME® or USMLE®. Predictions carry an estimated error of ±5–10 points. No peer-reviewed study has published R² or bias data specific to NBME 30; accuracy figures reflect community consensus from r/step1 and SDN forums.