NBMECalc
USMLE Step 1

NBME 30 Score CalculatorStep 1's Hardest — and Most Trustworthy — Form

200 questions · The most conservative Step 1 predictor available. Enter your wrong answers to get your NBME 30 predicted score and understand what it means for your real exam readiness.

80% correct
0 wrong100 wrong200 wrong
Predicted Score
232
Passing threshold: 196
Excellent
Pass probability
99.8%
140196 passing300
Strong readiness. You're well above the safe zone — consider scheduling soon.
40
Wrong
160
Correct
80%
Accuracy

NBME 30 Slightly Underpredicts — No Downward Adjustment Needed

Unlike UWSA forms (which overpredict by 7–15 pts), NBME 30 tends to slightly underestimate your actual Step 1 score by ~3–5 pts. Your real exam result will often land at or above your NBME 30 predicted score. A passing score here is the strongest single readiness signal available.

Why NBME 30 Scores Lower Than Other Forms

Each wrong answer on NBME 30 costs 1.15 points — the highest penalty of any active Step 1 form. On NBME 28 (the easiest active form), the cost is only 1.05 points per wrong answer. This means:

40 wrong answers
NBME 28: 234
same 40 wrong
NBME 30: 232
score gap
~15 pts

A lower NBME 30 score vs. an easier form does not mean you regressed — it reflects the more demanding scoring curve. Compare scores only within the same form.

NBME 28 / 29 / 30 / 31 — Difficulty Comparison

NBME 28NBME 29NBME 30NBME 31
Slope (pts/wrong)1.0481.091.151.08
DifficultyEasyModerateHardestHard
Recommended timingWeek 5–6Week 6–7Final 1–2 wksFinal 1–2 wks
Primary useConfidenceReadinessFinal checkpointContent check

Community consensus data. Slope values from regression formulas calibrated against reported score pairs on r/step1 and SDN.

NBME 30 Score Conversion Table — Step 1

WrongCorrect% CorrectPredicted ScorePass Prob
0200100%27899.9%
519597.5%27299.9%
1019095%26699.9%
1518592.5%26099.9%
2018090%25599.9%
2517587.5%24999.9%
3017085%24399.9%
3516582.5%23799.9%
4016080%23299.8%
4515577.5%22699.6%
5015075%22098.7%
5514572.5%21496.2%
6014070%20991.2%
6513567.5%20377.9%
7013065%19754.5%
7512562.5%19128.9%
8012060%18614.2%
8511557.5%1805.3%
9011055%1741.9%
9510552.5%1680.6%
10010050%1630.3%
1059547.5%1570.1%
1109045%1510.1%
1158542.5%1450.1%
1208040%1400.1%
1257537.5%1400.1%
1307035%1400.1%
1356532.5%1400.1%
1406030%1400.1%
1455527.5%1400.1%
1505025%1400.1%
1554522.5%1400.1%
1604020%1400.1%
1653517.5%1400.1%
1703015%1400.1%
1752512.5%1400.1%
1802010%1400.1%
185157.5%1400.1%
190105%1400.1%
19552.5%1400.1%
20000%1400.1%
Above passing (196+)Below passing

About NBME 30

Questions
200
4 blocks × 50
Difficulty
Hardest
Best Timing
Week 7 of dedicated (final predictor)
Description

Most challenging active Step 1 form — best final predictor.

Community Notes

Hardest scoring form (1.15 pts/question). A passing score here is the strongest signal of exam readiness.

Other Step 1 Practice Exams

NBME 30 Step 1 Calculator — FAQ

This tool is for educational purposes only. Not affiliated with NBME® or USMLE®. Predictions carry an estimated error of ±5–10 points. No peer-reviewed study has published R² or bias data specific to NBME 30; accuracy figures reflect community consensus from r/step1 and SDN forums.